Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000190 0.000211 0.000234 0.000260 0.000290 0.000322 0.000360
2025-04-06 0.000148 0.000178 0.000212 0.000255 0.000309 0.000374 0.000458
2025-04-13 0.000119 0.000150 0.000190 0.000242 0.000312 0.000403 0.000529
2025-04-20 0.000104 0.000137 0.000181 0.000243 0.000330 0.000450 0.000629
2025-04-27 0.000094 0.000129 0.000177 0.000249 0.000353 0.000505 0.000747
2025-05-04 0.000085 0.000120 0.000170 0.000247 0.000366 0.000546 0.000848
2025-05-11 0.000078 0.000114 0.000166 0.000249 0.000383 0.000595 0.000968
2025-05-18 0.000071 0.000106 0.000159 0.000247 0.000393 0.000634 0.001077
2025-05-25 0.000066 0.000100 0.000154 0.000246 0.000403 0.000673 0.001193
2025-06-01 0.000061 0.000094 0.000148 0.000243 0.000410 0.000707 0.001303
2025-06-08 0.000055 0.000087 0.000140 0.000234 0.000406 0.000721 0.001376
2025-06-15 0.000052 0.000084 0.000138 0.000237 0.000423 0.000774 0.001536
2025-06-22 0.000050 0.000083 0.000139 0.000245 0.000452 0.000859 0.001780
2025-06-29 0.000046 0.000078 0.000133 0.000240 0.000454 0.000890 0.001919
2025-07-06 0.000041 0.000071 0.000123 0.000228 0.000441 0.000889 0.001983
2025-07-13 0.000039 0.000068 0.000121 0.000228 0.000455 0.000946 0.002196
2025-07-20 0.000038 0.000067 0.000121 0.000233 0.000478 0.001027 0.002488
2025-07-27 0.000035 0.000064 0.000117 0.000232 0.000487 0.001078 0.002710
2025-08-03 0.000034 0.000062 0.000116 0.000234 0.000504 0.001149 0.003006
2025-08-10 0.000032 0.000059 0.000113 0.000232 0.000512 0.001200 0.003256
2025-08-17 0.000030 0.000057 0.000110 0.000231 0.000521 0.001255 0.003530
2025-08-24 0.000029 0.000055 0.000107 0.000228 0.000526 0.001300 0.003784
2025-08-31 0.000027 0.000051 0.000102 0.000220 0.000517 0.001306 0.003914